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Geopolitical Risks Update 22 November 2025
Representative Image Wix AI 22 November The Trump Peace Plan for Ending Ukraine War Risks The basic flaw of the Plan as it is a sweeping attempt to equate the aggressor and the victim while emasculating not just Ukraine but also European Union and NATO – which has held peace on the Continent so far through the powerful shield of deterrence. Yet NATO or the EU members have not been consulted with the US possibly acting as an arbitrator on their behalf without their knowing. I
Security Risks Monitor
3 days ago3 min read


IMF Report Identifies Persistent Instability Risks for Pakistan
IMF Graph Showing Remarkable fluctustion in Pakistan's GDP over the Years Elitocracy, corruption, lack of accountability and marginalisation of the under class through persistent neglect by privileged entities bodes ill for stability in Pakistan ahead as the military has once again captured de jure state power. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Report on Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), has highlighted long term risks for Pakistan which is restrain
Security Risks Monitor
5 days ago3 min read


Afghanistan Forecast November 2025: Taliban Asserts Autonomy
Representative Image of Afghanistan's Building of National Defence Capability Demonstrating the irony of Pakistan’s belief of establishing a regime in Kabul that could be controlled from Islamabad, Taliban asserted autonomy highlighting territorial sovereignty which shocked the Establishment of the Eastern Neighbour which is now searching for answers from a two front dilemma – India and Afghanistan. Here is a detailed forecast for November and beyond- International Relati
Security Risks Research
Nov 184 min read


Afghanistan Pakistan Cease Fire: Simulating the Durand Dilemma
Map Courtesy National Geographic Society After the most intense clashes over the past four years, Afghanistan and Pakistan have agreed to a cease fire, central to the same is the Durand Line, unrecognized by the Taliban which splits the Pashtun homeland. While the clashes are an outcome of Pakistan’s allegations of Taliban support to the TTP, central to the same is the Durand dilemma a large question. A current perspective on likely status of the Cease Fire and Stability thr
Security Risks Research
Oct 217 min read


No Space for Supporting Terrorism in a Nuclearised Environment
Missile Defence Shield Representative Photo by Wix AI Pak Army Chief Munir’s misreading of the contemporary nuclear theory and praxis in the Subcontinent is disastrous for his country. Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff (COAS) Field Marshal Asim Munir completely misconstrues the nuclear narrative claiming on October 18 there was “no space for war in a nuclearised environment.” What the Army Chief failed to understand and so is the top brass of the country for decades is that ther
rkbhonsle
Oct 194 min read


Taliban Pakistan Clashes, Backdrop, Simulation and Forecast
Afghan Taliban on the Durand Line Source Bakhtar News Agency After recent Taliban Pakistan clashes on the Durand Line and beyond here is a simulation of the drivers and the possible way ahead. A week is a long time in the regional politics of the Western half of South Asia – Afghanistan Pakistan and India. Just as Afghanistan Taliban’s Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi was in Delhi on the first visit by a Taliban minister to India, escalation on the Pakistan and Afghanistan
rkbhonsle
Oct 135 min read


Pakistan: Going Global, Overlooking Local: Forecast October 2025
Representative Image Created by Wix AI Pakistan's internal challenges underline the limitations of a hybrid regime far removed from the...
Security Risks Research
Oct 116 min read


Simulating Pak Nuclear Umbrella for Saudi Arabia
A simulation of implications and responses of Pakistan Saudi Arabia Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement in the Middle East and South Asia...
rkbhonsle
Sep 205 min read


Joint Statement Issued Following Pakistan Prime Minister State Visit to Saudi Arabia
As per release by the Saudi Press Agency , the Joint Statement during the visit of Pakistan Prime Minister's State visit to Saudi Arabia...
Security Risks Monitor
Sep 202 min read


Rocket Force: Pakistan’s Additional Layer in the Escalation Ladder
Representative Image By Wix AI Learning from the experience of India’s Operation Sindoor thrashing, Pakistan has rapidly planned to...
Security Risks Research
Sep 134 min read
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