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Donroe Doctrine: An Opportunity for India
Source White House Pool Photograph from Wikipedia The US Donroe Doctrine implies a possible contestation with China in the long term in the spheres of economic influence globally, here is how India can exploit this as an opportunity to expand national interests. The “Donroe,” Doctrine has taken the world by storm as US Special Forces and the Central Intelligence Agency [CIA] took over the Presidential Palace in Caracas, Venezuela on the early morning of January 03 to whisk aw
rkbhonsle
3 days ago4 min read


TRAC Analysis of ISK Threat in Afghanistan, Pakistan
In a weekly analysis of terorist threats across the World TRAC has provided an Insight into the Arrest of Islamic State Khurasan (ISK) Spokesman Sultan Aziz Azzam by Pakistan authorities as outlined below On 16 May 2025, Pakistani authorities conducted a high-profile counterterrorism operation that resulted in the arrest of Sultan Aziz Azzam, the official spokesperson of Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISK). The operation was led by Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence
Security Risks Monitor
Dec 25, 20254 min read


U.S. NSS 2025: Decoupling from South Asia Opportunities and Risks
One of the salient features of the ‘America First, ‘United States National Security Strategy 2025 [ PDF ]is the virtual disregard of the South Asian region, which had been a focus in the past, including in the NSS issued by the first administration under President Donald Trump. There are justified concerns over what is seen as overlooking an important sub-regional complex, which has the potential for conflagration, including the presence of two nuclear-weapon states – India a
rkbhonsle
Dec 18, 20254 min read


Geopolitical Risks Update 22 November 2025
Representative Image Wix AI 22 November The Trump Peace Plan for Ending Ukraine War Risks The basic flaw of the Plan as it is a sweeping attempt to equate the aggressor and the victim while emasculating not just Ukraine but also European Union and NATO – which has held peace on the Continent so far through the powerful shield of deterrence. Yet NATO or the EU members have not been consulted with the US possibly acting as an arbitrator on their behalf without their knowing. I
Security Risks Monitor
Nov 22, 20253 min read


IMF Report Identifies Persistent Instability Risks for Pakistan
IMF Graph Showing Remarkable fluctustion in Pakistan's GDP over the Years Elitocracy, corruption, lack of accountability and marginalisation of the under class through persistent neglect by privileged entities bodes ill for stability in Pakistan ahead as the military has once again captured de jure state power. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Report on Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), has highlighted long term risks for Pakistan which is restrain
Security Risks Monitor
Nov 21, 20253 min read


Afghanistan Forecast November 2025: Taliban Asserts Autonomy
Representative Image of Afghanistan's Building of National Defence Capability Demonstrating the irony of Pakistan’s belief of establishing a regime in Kabul that could be controlled from Islamabad, Taliban asserted autonomy highlighting territorial sovereignty which shocked the Establishment of the Eastern Neighbour which is now searching for answers from a two front dilemma – India and Afghanistan. Here is a detailed forecast for November and beyond- International Relati
Security Risks Research
Nov 18, 20254 min read


Afghanistan Pakistan Cease Fire: Simulating the Durand Dilemma
Map Courtesy National Geographic Society After the most intense clashes over the past four years, Afghanistan and Pakistan have agreed to a cease fire, central to the same is the Durand Line, unrecognized by the Taliban which splits the Pashtun homeland. While the clashes are an outcome of Pakistan’s allegations of Taliban support to the TTP, central to the same is the Durand dilemma a large question. A current perspective on likely status of the Cease Fire and Stability thr
Security Risks Research
Oct 21, 20257 min read


No Space for Supporting Terrorism in a Nuclearised Environment
Missile Defence Shield Representative Photo by Wix AI Pak Army Chief Munir’s misreading of the contemporary nuclear theory and praxis in the Subcontinent is disastrous for his country. Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff (COAS) Field Marshal Asim Munir completely misconstrues the nuclear narrative claiming on October 18 there was “no space for war in a nuclearised environment.” What the Army Chief failed to understand and so is the top brass of the country for decades is that ther
rkbhonsle
Oct 19, 20254 min read


Taliban Pakistan Clashes, Backdrop, Simulation and Forecast
Afghan Taliban on the Durand Line Source Bakhtar News Agency After recent Taliban Pakistan clashes on the Durand Line and beyond here is a simulation of the drivers and the possible way ahead. A week is a long time in the regional politics of the Western half of South Asia – Afghanistan Pakistan and India. Just as Afghanistan Taliban’s Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi was in Delhi on the first visit by a Taliban minister to India, escalation on the Pakistan and Afghanistan
rkbhonsle
Oct 13, 20255 min read


Pakistan: Going Global, Overlooking Local: Forecast October 2025
Representative Image Created by Wix AI Pakistan's internal challenges underline the limitations of a hybrid regime far removed from the...
Security Risks Research
Oct 11, 20256 min read
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