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Myanmar Forecast October: Continued Strategic Fragmentation and Intensified Violence
Fractured sovereignty in multiple dimensions from international and regional relations to territorial control, governance and administration will continue in Myanmar in October even as violence will take more lives as the dry season implies intensification of operations. Peace and stability will remain distant as the Union Government and Pro-Democracy Forces with multiple divisions within grapple for exercising their writ in perhaps one of the worst periods in the country’s h
Security Risks Research
Sep 156 min read


Bangladesh Forecast September – Expanding Multi Vector Concerns
Six months of the BNP government under Prime Minister Tarique Rehman continues to be seen as a honeymoon period though surveys portray a decline in public support. Meeting diverse challenges that Bangladesh faces from diplomacy to internal security and economy, muddling through is not an option.
Security Risks Research
Sep 107 min read


Fixing South Asia’s Broken Politics
The challenge for South Asian countries is to make democracy work in the true sense – autonomous institutions from the legislature to the judiciary and the election commission, a free media, accountability, elimination of corruption and de-elitism.
rkbhonsle
Aug 43 min read


Myanmar Forecast July 2026: Regime Pitch for Legitimacy & Anticipated Trajectory
A comprehensive review of recent developments in the foreign policy, diplomacy, security, politics and economy with forecast of the possible way ahead
Security Risks Research
Jul 247 min read


Review: UNDP Report Military Escalation In The Middle East Human Development Impacts Across Asia Pacific
Nishqa Devadiga reviews the UNDP report that maps the channels through which a geopolitical shock far from the region mainly war in the Middle East since February 2026 is quietly eroding livelihood, food security, employment and public budgets across one of the world's most economically diverse regions.
Nishqa Devadiga
Jun 86 min read


South Asia’s Biggest Security Challenge: It’s Climate Change
Beyond wars, militancy, terrorism, drug and people running, law and order, illegal migration, maritime crime and so on, climate change will remain the most persistent and long term challenge for South Asia, here is a perspective.
rkbhonsle
Jun 43 min read


Min Aung Hlaing Administration Fails to Gain Recognition of ASEAN
With an eye on the ASEAN Summit in Cebu Philippines on 7 and 8 May, the Min Aung Hlaing led newly installed government in Myanmar moved fast to release former President U Win Myint days before his sentence expired, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi was moved to a civil quarter but here detention location remains undisclosed. Despite these moves and the active support of some of the members of ASEAN such as Thailand, the Group failed to achieve consensus on inviting the Myanmar leader fo
Security Risks Monitor
May 122 min read


Is Myanmar Seeking U.S. approval of Min Aung Hlaing Regime
Having gained the approval of Russia, China, India, Thailand amongst ASEAN countries, the quasi-military government led by former military commander and coup leader Ming Aung Hlaing as the president may now be looking to woo the United States for removal of sanctions and thus legitimacy of sorts.
Security Risks Research
May 52 min read


Unity Challenges before Myanmar's Spring Revolution
President Duwa Lashi La of the National Unity Government (NUG) candidly admitted that formidable challenges remain due to a lack of unity.
Security Risks Research
Apr 252 min read


Min Aung Hlaing: The “Battle” for Legitimacy
From Senior General and Commander of the Armed Forces to President, Min Aung Hlaing may have achieved his life time ambition, but legitimacy issues will continue to inhibit his acceptance politically as well as diplomatically despite an outreach by some regional countries.
Security Risks Research
Apr 245 min read
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