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Min Aung Hlaing Administration Fails to Gain Recognition of ASEAN
With an eye on the ASEAN Summit in Cebu Philippines on 7 and 8 May, the Min Aung Hlaing led newly installed government in Myanmar moved fast to release former President U Win Myint days before his sentence expired, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi was moved to a civil quarter but here detention location remains undisclosed. Despite these moves and the active support of some of the members of ASEAN such as Thailand, the Group failed to achieve consensus on inviting the Myanmar leader fo
Security Risks Monitor
May 122 min read


Is Myanmar Seeking U.S. approval of Min Aung Hlaing Regime
Having gained the approval of Russia, China, India, Thailand amongst ASEAN countries, the quasi-military government led by former military commander and coup leader Ming Aung Hlaing as the president may now be looking to woo the United States for removal of sanctions and thus legitimacy of sorts.
Security Risks Research
May 52 min read


Unity Challenges before Myanmar's Spring Revolution
President Duwa Lashi La of the National Unity Government (NUG) candidly admitted that formidable challenges remain due to a lack of unity.
Security Risks Research
Apr 252 min read


Min Aung Hlaing: The “Battle” for Legitimacy
From Senior General and Commander of the Armed Forces to President, Min Aung Hlaing may have achieved his life time ambition, but legitimacy issues will continue to inhibit his acceptance politically as well as diplomatically despite an outreach by some regional countries.
Security Risks Research
Apr 245 min read


South Asia Prepares for Multiple Disruptions from Gulf War 3.0
Here is how countries in South Asia - India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka are preparing for a medium to long term crisis replicating recent disruptions such as COVID 19 as of March 22.
Security Risks Monitor
Mar 236 min read


Elections and South Asia’s Democracy Fault Lines
Representative Image by Wix AI After unexpected political catastrophes Myanmar, Bangladesh and Nepal are amidst a polls rush, will these bring about transformation for the people of these countries or will light at the end of the tunnel remain a flicker? Democracies are stable because citizens can elect leaders at regular intervals, in contrast to other forms of governance where Presidents may remain in power for years if not decades China and Russia being the most recent exa
rkbhonsle
Feb 63 min read


Myanmar Forecast and Projections ahead of military rigged elections
Representative Image from Wix Media: Fog of Elections Holistic review of current trends and projections in Myanmar with rigged elections implies no relief to the people from violence and suffering. International Relations. US decision to end Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Myanmar nationals in the United States is expected to provide the State Security and Peace Commission [SSPC] a veneer of credibility to the domestic as well as international audience. Myanmar’s mil
rkbhonsle
Dec 11, 20254 min read


South Asian Political Flux In 2026
What are prospects of stability in South Asia in 2026? Here is a perspective analysing internal and external factors in the region including Myanmar. Democracies are oxygen for meeting aspirations of the masses. Elections are the medium through which people exercise their choice. South Asia, including Myanmar, will see three national elections in 2026, with the Myanmar elections spilling over from December this year. Given the circumstances under which the polls are being hel
Security Risks Research
Dec 9, 20253 min read


Three Elections in India's Neighbourhood, Uncertain Outcomes
Representative Image Elections without transformation projected for Myanmar, Bangladesh and Nepal with stability concerns continuing. Stability within the countries and relations with Myanmar, Bangladesh and Nepal are of vital interest for India. The three countries are heading for polls with hopes of a new dawn, what are the predictions for stability ahead, here is a view. Myanmar, Bangladesh and Nepal will be holding parliamentary polls in December 2025 [partial], Febru
rkbhonsle
Nov 12, 20254 min read


Myanmar Forecast December : Onward to contested Polls
The Tatmadaw adorning the mantle of State Security and Peace Commission (SSPC) and National Security and Peace Commission (NSPC) regulated polls for limited number of constituencies are likely to go ahead on December 28, to be contested violently in some areas. Regardless of the outcome success of the polls wtih be declared by the SSPC and return to partial democracy but rejected by the international and regional stakeholders less supporters of the military regime. Internatio
Security Risks Research
Nov 9, 20252 min read
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