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ICG 10 Conflicts to Watch in 2026
Image source World in Maps 2025 was a bloody year. 2026 promises little better remarks the ICG in 10 Conflicts to Watch during the Year, one has already escalated three days into New Year, Venezuela Over the last year, fighting raged on in Ukraine, Sudan, Myanmar and the Sahel, as did gang turf battles in Haiti. The war in Gaza wound down, but only after Israel, having resumed its assault in March, razed much of what was left of the strip. Israel and Iran traded blows, with t
International Crisis Group
3 days ago43 min read


Simulation of PLA’s Coercive “Justice Mission 2025” Targets Taiwan, Signals US, Japan
Screen Grab China Military Online 29 December 2025 China PLA Eastern Theatre Command announced the launch of Justice Mission 2025 on December 29 in the Taiwan periphery with integrated operations by PLAA, PLAN, PLAAF and Rocket Force. Here is a run of events and simulation of impact. In a series of press releases China Military Online [ http://eng.chinamil.com.cn/ ] Xinhua and Weibo/WeChat reports wherein forces of the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People's Liberatio
rkbhonsle
Dec 29, 20253 min read


Hot Spots 2026: Taiwan Contingency Scenarios
Can Taiwan be the Hot Spot in 2026, here is a simulation of military, political and geopolitical dynamics where great powers are looking for opportunities to achieve their sovereignty objectives? Unification with Taiwan is one of the principal sovereignty objectives of the Chinese Communist Party and over the years a resolve to achieve this objective has only strengthened. Indeed a peaceful integration would be desirable but if not can an attempt for forceful occupation of
Security Risks Research
Dec 23, 20257 min read


QUAD Mechanisms Survive despite Limited Summitry
Contrary to earlier concerns about diminished US interest under President Donald Trump, the first foreign ministers' meeting of the Quad during his second term reaffirmed the grouping's continued relevance to his administration’s Indo-Pacific strategy, according to rediff.com . The Quad, which began in 2007 and was revitalized in 2017 as a formal forum, maintains several mechanisms despite limited summit-level meetings. Although President Trump appears wary of such forums, so
Security Risks Monitor
Dec 20, 20252 min read


United States Arms Sales Approvals for India – 2019 – 2025
MQ 9 B SEA GUARDIAN SOURCE GENERAL ATOMICS WEBSITE The United States Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA) has approved US $ 5.611 Billion to India in 2024-25 and US $ 9.095 Billion arms sales to India from 2019 to April 2021. Total sales during the two periods amount to US $ 14.7069 which includes a variety of major platforms and support equipment. The basic objective sales was as per DSCA mission statement to advance U.S. national security and foreign policy interests
Security Risks Research
Dec 19, 202511 min read


Is Bangladesh Heading for a Feral State?
Representative Image by Wix AI Predictions of stability in Bangladesh have become increasingly hazardous since June 2024, ever since the protests over reservations against progeny of the freedom fighters broke out. The roller coaster in the past year and a half has seen a long-time leader [Sheikh Hasina] deposed and her rival Professor Mohammad Yunus taking charge as the Head of an Interim Administration. Yunus is supported by the students' movement, which had driven out Hasi
Security Risks Research
Dec 19, 20253 min read


U.S. NSS 2025: Decoupling from South Asia Opportunities and Risks
One of the salient features of the ‘America First, ‘United States National Security Strategy 2025 [ PDF ]is the virtual disregard of the South Asian region, which had been a focus in the past, including in the NSS issued by the first administration under President Donald Trump. There are justified concerns over what is seen as overlooking an important sub-regional complex, which has the potential for conflagration, including the presence of two nuclear-weapon states – India a
rkbhonsle
Dec 18, 20254 min read


US commitment to Indo Pacific Trending Positive
Despite the transactional approach by the US Administration under President Donald Trump, US commitment to the Indo Pacific is trending positive. Here are some of the markers of positive trends Positive Trends Partner/Ally Key Event Impact Likely Concerns Republic of Korea US Commitment for Extended Deterrence Sustains nuclear umbrella for South Korea also likely commitment for Japan. North Korea China QUAD United States hosted the fourth annual Quad Humanitarian Assistan
Security Risks Monitor
Dec 12, 20251 min read


South Asian Political Flux In 2026
What are prospects of stability in South Asia in 2026? Here is a perspective analysing internal and external factors in the region including Myanmar. Democracies are oxygen for meeting aspirations of the masses. Elections are the medium through which people exercise their choice. South Asia, including Myanmar, will see three national elections in 2026, with the Myanmar elections spilling over from December this year. Given the circumstances under which the polls are being hel
Security Risks Research
Dec 9, 20253 min read
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