As Sepah the IRGC and Artesh the Iranian Armed Forces establish a joint strategy to counter what is expected to be a possible ground operation by the US Central Command to neutralise and gain control of select areas of Iran’s Southern coastline including possibly Kharg Island, the war in Iran could be moving to the next phase.

Here are 11 points on Iran’s ability to convert geography, long term preparedness, asymmetry, alliances and timing into coercive, deterrent and bargaining power and in the end, why will still lose the War.

While portending a nuclear crisis in the Pacific may be too early, preparing for the same by creating confidence building and crisis management institutions and mechanism would be in order.