Geopolitical Trends

Bunkering facility is likely to result in large number of vessels taking their fuel load in Hambantota given the mandatory requirement of ship operators to ensure that the ship is adequately fuelled during voyage.
While the World is battling one of the gravest pandemics in human history, legacy conflict zones across Asia Pacific from North Korea to Afghanistan and Iraq continue to remain flash points
A realistic appraisal of critical geopolitical trends in a post-COVID 19 World is necessary for India to adjust foreign policy goals and devote diplomatic resources accordingly.
India reportedly agrees not to refer to COVID 19 as China Virus, indicating a balanced response in the ongoing geopolitical controversy over the issue between the United States and China
Raksha Mantri Shri Rajnath Singh held a telephonic conversation with his United States counterpart Secretary of Defence Dr Mark T Esper while in Pakistan Esper spoke to the Army Chief
Except for the severe epidemic situation in Iran along the “Belt and Road”, there are less confirmed cases in most countries and are basically controllable.
In case of a community spread the challenge for South Asia will be a significant health emergency given the relatively limited resources of health care available.
Even as the United States and China are engaged in an ugly diplomatic spat over issues related to COVID 19, in Asia India and China are engaged in strengthening relations with partners.
After two attacks by the PMU on Taji Base North of Baghdad, now a third south of the Iraqi capital raises alarm adding to risk of escalation.
Ministry of External Affairs summarized the outcome of the Video Conference of Leaders of SAARC Countries
Taji base, about 15km (nine miles) north of Baghdad, hosts foreign troops from the US-led coalition, whose mission is to train and advise Iraqi security forces and is the scene of much of the action in the past one week
Rocket attacks by PMU on Coalition base in Iraq leading to three service personnel killed and retaliatory response denotes possibility of escalation in the Iraq – Syria belt.
Travel and tourism including hotel and transportation, ...etc impacted with Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Delhi and UP carrying the maximum burden
In Security Risks estimates published on 04 Feb a month before the ADB report it was estimated that Maldives is likely to face a major impact of Corona virus due to fall in tourism.
The ADB believes that the outbreak of COVID 19 will lead to, “sharp declines in domestic demand, lower tourism and business travel, trade and production linkages, supply disruptions, and health effects”.
India adopts robust diplomatic response as Iran joined other countries expressing serious reservations over violence in Delhi .
Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi has reviewed the preparedness on the COVID-19 Novel Coronavirus. WHO issues comprehensive advisory
WHO has continued the risk from Corona virus at Very High Globally. Eight new Member States (Andorra, Jordan, Latvia, Morocco, Portugal, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, and Tunisia) reported
Fragile states with multiple fault lines as Iraq and Afghanistan cannot be molded to an external framework be it of democracy or socialism/communism through armed interventions
NATO welcomes significant first steps in pursuit of peaceful settlement to conflict in Afghanistan, Alliance and partners in Resolute Support Mission will implement adjustments, including reduction to military presence.

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