Alerts

China and Pakistan are hopeful of linking Afghanistan with the CPEC through Gwadar, while India is banking on Chabahar to extend reach to Central Asia and Eurasia through INSTC.
Demise of INF, New Start Treaty, new missile race, new and emerging technologies, AI and cyber, impasse in the international security system amongst concerns flagged
Iran’s Supreme Leader calls for eviction of the US from the region, thus despite President Trumps indication of a pullback gradual widening of conflict possible
IECC indicated with only 12,000 Votes Lead, Second Round Imminent in Afghanistan, over 10,000 complaints have documents in support, while approximately 5000 plus may be rejected.
Iran's retaliatory strike could lead to a counter response by the US as the Pentagon awaits confirmation of casualties from the Ayn Al Asad base in Iraq.
Geo-political and regional developments apart from disruptions and uncertainty denote that 2020 may not see the same level of commitment as in the previous years.
Taliban has demonstrated savviness in avoiding being embroiled in the tensions pertaining to US and Iran after the killing of the Iranian elite force commander Gen. Qassem Soleimani.
Hazara community leaders expressed distress over the killing of Iran’s Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani in a drone attack by the United States on 3 January outside Baghdad airport.
19th India-Iran joint commission meeting discussed Chabahar port, Trilateral meeting between India, Afghanistan, Iran.
United States President Donald Trump authorised resumption of IMET for Pakistan to strengthen military to military cooperation to advance US national security.
Fears of a WW 3 are however alarmist for now. We are not on that brink as none wants escalation possibly even Iran and the US. Yet limited conflagration cannot be ruled out.
The region is dependent on energy resources from West Asia while millions of migrants from the region are working in countries as Iraq, Saudi Arabia, UAE and Kuwait.
Importantly the US and Iran engagements so far have been in the covert asymmetric domain, Soleimani is the first instance where the US has openly acknowledged an attack on Iran’s top military commanders.
Political messages during United States Presidential elections in 2020 and conflicts such as the Indo Pakistan or US and Iran may see the use of deep fakes to spread falsehoods.
Mahathir's New Forum, in tangible terms not much may have been achieved but what will be named as the Perdana Dialogue from 2020 could be the first step challenging OIC led by Saudi Arabia.
A cooperation agreement was inked in a meeting between Iranian Border Guards Commander and Director General of Pakistan Maritime Security Agency (PMSA)
India and Iran agreed to accelerate work on the strategic Chabahar project as external affairs minister S Jaishankar held talks with his Iranian counterpart Javad Zarif
Second Indo US 2 + 2 steady forward movement in pursuing common interests while outlining challenges and programmes in Indo Pacific, counter terrorism, disaster mgt and defence trade
Progress in multiple areas of engagement Indo Pacific, Defence trade, military interoperability and common regional perspectives while varied perspectives on Iran etc and trade continue
Simultaneous exercises with Sri Lanka and Nepal demonstrates the expanding profile of defence cooperation by Indian Army in the neighbourhood providing fillip to Neighbourhood First
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