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Security Trends South Asia » Pakistan » The Indus in Rage: Triple Crisis in Pakistan

Sep 12, 2010

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The Indus in Rage: Triple Crisis in Pakistan

General

The flood waters of the Indus finally poured into the Arabian Sea on 01 September after devastating the country for over five weeks, submerging almost one-fifth of land mass and making hundreds and thousands homeless. Eight million people are now aid dependent as their agricultural produce is washed away or land silted. The death toll from floods, which have officially claimed over 1,600 lives, is likely to rise as the missing are counted as the waters recede. The first wave of floods started on 29 July triggered by heavy monsoon rains in north-west Pakistan which caused rivers to burst banks and destroyed entire villages. By 31 July UN described the monsoon floods as the worst in living memory, the key markers in August are as per Table below.

01 August

· Death toll from floods rises to 1,100.

04 August

· Floods threaten to bring food crisis

05 August

· Floods affect more than four million people: UN

07 August

· Sindh on alert as high flood tide passes through Guddu.

08 August

· Troops evacuate thousands in flood disaster

· People remain stranded as flood situation worsens

· Fresh rains hamper flood relief in KP

· Need billions to recover from floods: UN

10 August

· Six million flood victims need aid to survive: UN

· Transparent distribution of aid will be ensured: PM

11 August

· UN in $460m aid plea.

· Punjab, Sindh on alert after fresh warning

· KP flood death toll at 997, as rescue efforts continue

12 August

· 1,000 US Marines, 24 helicopters arrive to help flood survivors

13 August

· Floodwater 1km away from Shahbaz Airbase, Jacobabad Evacuated

· No celebrations as nation marks Independence Day .

16 August

· Authorities warn of more floods as heavy rains fall

17 August

· Upper Sindh on red alert

18 August

· EU boosts flood aid to Pakistan to 70 million euros

19 August

· US fears deluge will allow terrorists to play havoc with its Pak policy

· Japan to send helicopters to help Pakistan

· PM sets up NODMC to oversee aid distribution

20 August

· Floods may wipe out millions of livestock: UN

· Punjab estimates Rs107bn flood losses

· Hundreds of villages ravaged in Sindh

21 August

· Floodwaters strike Hyderabad, Thatta

22 August

· Floods - Shahdadkot situation turns critical

24 August

· Pakistan moves choppers from Taliban fight to relief

· Hyderabad at risk as super flood hits Kotri Barrage

25 August

· Kirthar Canal breach endangers Larkana

26 August

· Panic as residents told to evacuate Thatta city

28 August

· Floodwaters make another break in Thatta levee

29 August

· Floods inundate Sujawal town

· Challenge to be converted into opportunity to build new Pakistan, says Gilani

31 August

· Floodwaters finally heading to Arabian Sea.

· India raises aid to $ 25 Million to be routed through UN.

[Source : Security – Risks.com Data Base compiled from news reports in Pakistan media]

The floods have inflicted major damage on the country’s economy estimated by the Prime Minister on 1 September at $43 billion. The real GDP growth is also likely to come down to 2.5 percent for 2010-11. Gilani as per the Daily Times said one-fifth of the country’s irrigation infrastructure, livestock and crops had been destroyed and inflation was likely to rise up from 9.5 percent to 15-20 percent while the budget deficit would grow to 6-7 percent of the GDP. Economic distress normally is transformed into political confrontation and security concerns which are evident in the country in the wake of the floods over the past one month.

SEP 2010

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