Thursday 23 February 2012
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Security Trends South Asia » Jammu Kashmir

Capacity to Meet Threat to Internal Security Improved
Dec 24, 2011
Year End Review - Capacity to Meet Threat to Internal Security Improved
Kashmir: Security Challenges of Low Level Insurgency
Aug 22, 2011
The death of a 26-year-old youth in police custody in Sopore on 31 July and allegations of rape by a soldier in South Kashmir during the month highlighted the key challenge for security forces of managing low level insurgency.
From Militancy to Politics – A Noticeable Shift
Jul 22, 2011
Around five Lakh domestic as well as foreign tourists have visited Jammu and Kashmir since January to end May.
Credibility of Kashmiri Separatists Affected as Key US Sponsor Charged with Conspiracy
Jul 21, 2011
Credibility of Kashmiri Separatists Affected as Key US Sponsor Charged with Conspiracy with Pakistan by US Justice Department
Challenging Course of Political Discourse
Jun 6, 2011
The assassination of Kashmir's Jamiat-e-Ahl-e-Hadees head Maluana Showkat Ahmad Shah by an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) on 8 April highlighted the challenges faced by moderate religious as well as political leaders in Jammu and Kashmir
Challenging Course of Political Discourse
May 20, 2011
The assassination of Kashmir's Jamiat-e-Ahl-e-Hadees head Maluana Showkat Ahmad Shah by an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) on 8 April highlighted the challenges faced by moderate religious as well as political leaders in Jammu and Kashmir.
Overall Strategy Jammu and Kashmir
Apr 17, 2011
The overall strategy of the Indian government and the Congress Party in Jammu and Kashmir has been ironically best summarized by a cable by the US Embassy in New Delhi to Washington dated 22 October 2009 revealed through Wikileaks and reproduced in the Hindu on 30 March (Page 11).
Concerns and Hopes
Mar 2, 2011
Unrest in West Asia has raised concerns of similar trends in Jammu and Kashmir in the Summer. This is not unusual given transformation of conflict from violent terrorism to political violence and activism, trends of which were seen in the past three years or so in the Valley. The State government is also pre-warned and better prepared this time around to face the challenge. A number of factors denote how the summer situation which is likely to be volatile can be met and the cycle of the past few years broken.
Interlocutors: A Mild Political Initiative
Nov 20, 2010
The much awaited political initiative unfolded in Jammu and Kashmir during the Month with the Centre appointing a group of three interlocutors to hold sustained dialogue with all sections of the people.
Militancy: Continued Tempo
Nov 20, 2010
Meanwhile the militancy space continued to see a number of attempts at infiltration and sporadic encounters. In some of the major encounters in the Valley, on 14 October, three militants were killed in south Kashmir in Keller village of Shopian district.
The Indian Mujahideen – Lashkar E Taiyyaba Nexus
Oct 13, 2010
The Mumbai Anti-Terror Squad (ATS) highlighted Lashker-e-Toiba-Indian Mujahideen (LeT-IM) footprint in the German Bakery bomb attack in Pune in February 2010. The arrest of Himayat Baig and Bilal from the Marathwada region part of the Aurangabad module of the Indian Mujahideen with links with the LeT were revealed by the ATS Chief Mr Maria in Mumbai.
Kashmir: The Developments
Oct 13, 2010
The Central government called for an All Party Meet in Delhi, after the State had failed to stem violent protests in the Valley which reached a peak on 13 September when 17 civilians were killed in mob violence and clashes with the police on rumours of Koran burning images of which were shown on an Iranian channel,. The Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh addressing the all-party meeting renewed call for dialogue and discussion which was supported by all participants.
Kashmir: All Party Delegation Raise Hopes
Oct 13, 2010
The success of the All Party Delegation’s visit to Srinagar, “to assess the ground situation,” will depend on the core issue of relief to the people held hostage to the State as well as extremist ideologues alike.
The Economic Losses
Oct 13, 2010
Estimates of economic losses in the Kashmir Valley are said to be Rs 26,000 Crore worth of business and in addition public property worth Crores. The state is said to be losing Rs 161 Crore per day of shutdown in taxes and other levies, totaling Rs 16,100 Crore for the 100-day shutdown. The business community has indicated a loss of Rs 10,000 Crore mainly in the travel and tourism sector.
Continuing Militant Violence Continuing Militant Violence
Oct 13, 2010
Meanwhile militant violence continued across the State as on 5 September a Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) terrorist was killed and one injured in a gun battle in Poonch border district in Bhatti-Dar area of Mendhar tehsil. On 7 September three terrorists were killed in an encounter in the forests of Bandipora district of north Kashmir followed by another encounter on 10 September in Pulwama and Bandipora districts.
Problems of a Limited Mandate in Democracy
Sep 12, 2010
Abraham Lincoln called democracy government by the people, of the people and for the people. Kashmir’s Chief Minister the young Omar Abdullah could do well to remember nuances of the three distinct phrases used by Lincoln to define democracy. Given contretemps of electoral democracy, Abdullah can legitimately claim to be elected by the people of the state in the first past the post system.
Radical Separatists: the Core Problem
Sep 12, 2010
Much as the debate over the ongoing stand off in Kashmir Valley which has taken over 60 young lives now is stretched over a spectrum of issues ranging from frustration of youth, unemployment, separatism vs nationalism, failure of the Central and State government and anti Pakistan jingoism, radicalization of the separatist movement has received limited attention. Given propensity of external analysts to seek answers in the obvious and a tendency for avoidance of confrontation by local leadership due to fear of the gun, radicalization of the separatist movement which has seen marginalization of moderates as Mirwaiz Omar Farooq and even hard line Geelani has been largely ignored.
Leh Floods – Meeting the Deluge
Sep 12, 2010
A massive cloud burst occurred in Leh after torrential rains lashed Leh and its surrounding areas at about 0100-0200 hrs on the intervening night of 5-6 August, 2010. This triggered flash floods in Leh Town and surrounding areas of Choglumsar, Pathar Sahib, Phyang, Hanoyogma and Nimu. Since the tragedy occurred during the night there was substantial loss of precious human lives. Damage to property and disruption of communication and services were also widely reported.
Terrorism and Militancy
Aug 8, 2010
The Defence Minister highlighted the spate of violent militancy which continues to spur terrorism in the State. "In 2009, 485 terrorists had attempted to infiltrate into J&K. This year, from January to June, a total of 255 terrorists have attempted to infiltrate,'' he told Lok Sabha. Security forces have killed 114 terrorists -- 59 of them while infiltrating -- and arrested 60 others in J&K in the first six months of 2010. "Along the LoC, the Army had adopted a robust counter-infiltration strategy, which has an appropriate mix of technology and human resources to check infiltration effectively,'' said Antony.”Innovative troop deployment, efficient use of surveillance and monitoring devices and the LoC fence have enhanced the ability to detect and intercept terrorists attempting to infiltrate/exfiltrate. The Army's counter-infiltration posture is an effective deterrent to infiltration attempts,'' he added.
The Nether People's Frustrations
Aug 8, 2010
The nether people's frustration in Kashmir Valley erupted once again during the month fueling a series of deaths in a cycle of violence that saw the apogee on 1 August. While many have attempted to describe the wave as an, "Intifida" on the lines of the Palestinian agitation, the series of incidents of stone pelting can be seen as a mix of mass disappointment fueled by separatist elements to advantage exploiting absence of clear political leadership and catalysed by opposing political forces
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